ONS Data Shows No Excess Deaths in July, the Fifth Month in a Row


But psychopaths at SAGE release new paper continuing to claim we're in a pandemic, and that they were right and everyone else was wrong.


The ONS announced on Monday that there were 40,467 deaths registered in England in July, an increase of 4.8% more than in June has been leapt upon by SAGE as more proof positive that they were right all along, and that if this 'trend' continues we'll all be dead by Christmas or something.


These increases on the face of it may appear worrying but they are purposefully deceptive. Figures on their own are meaningless, without putting them into context and providing an explanation as to how you arrived at them they are totally and utterly useless. SAGE are purposefully presenting these figures as a way of creating more fear and panic, and as 'proof' they were right all along. It's not science, it's propaganda.


What the experts failed to tell you was that COVID-19 remained only the ninth leading cause of death in July, and deaths from the first eight were all significantly below their five-year averages. COVID, unlike any other cause of death, is not age-adjusted in measures of mortality. That is to say that the normal benchmark calculation applied to every other death category is mysteriously missing from COVID statistics. This is of course no accident, it's a cynical attempt at fooling the public, and it works, very well.


The English population is ageing, the absolute number of people at risk of dying each year is going up. You’d therefore expect to see a greater number of deaths each year, even without a pandemic. For that reason, Covid should be subject to exactly the same analysis as every other death cause.


In July the age-standardised mortality rate was only 1.3% higher than in May, and was approximately equal to the normal five-year average. (The exact figure was marginally higher, but the percentage difference was only 0.4%.). This chart from the ONS shows the age-standardised mortality rate for the first seven months of the year, each year, going back to 2001:

Although 2021’s figure was higher than the figure for 2019, it was 3.6% lower than the figure for 2015 and 2.0% lower than the figure for 2018. This means that – despite higher-than-expected mortality in the winter – the overall level of mortality in the first seven months of 2021 was still lower than three years before.


As a matter of fact, the age-standardised rate from January through July was only 0.8% higher than the five-year average. Another month without many excess deaths and 2021 will officially be an ‘average year’ for English mortality.


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